No place like home?
In Alice in Wonderland’s financial world, bad news could mean up, and good news could mean down. It is not the news that matters. It is how the market perceives the news that is important. Good arguments can always be made for both the bull and bear cases which lead to plenty of opportunities in the markets. At the risk of sounding like a broken track record, the world is a big place full of investment opportunities.
I have given speeches on global market
opportunities many times at many events over the years. Usually, I will ask investors
one question. “How much of your investment portfolio is beyond your home border?”
Guess what? The answer always varies but most of them have very low exposure to
global markets.
Some investors are always wondering if they
really need to invest outside the country. Whenever my capable financial partners
who are experienced wealth advisors look at a prospective client’s investment
portfolio, they rarely see one that is globally diversified.
Should anyone be surprised? When local
investors talk about the stock market, they are generally referring to local
stocks. My wealthy neighbor tells me all the time that she only believes in buying
local properties.
Every country in the world suffers from
this home country bias. What is “home bias”? Home bias is the tendency for
investors to invest in a large amount of local investments despite the benefits
of diversifying into other markets.
Well, they are not stupid people. It is
just that most investors tend to invest in what they know. They tend to lean
toward the familiar. Because it may also have to do with the way that people
have been trained for such a long time to think about the investment process, some
believe their favorite local investments will tend to outperform other
opportunities – it is a “risky world” out there you know.
Home bias is not necessarily a bad thing as
it is important to have a good understanding of your investments. However, it
becomes damaging when the blinders are put on and people refrain from learning
about other opportunities to take advantage of the changing economic and market
conditions around the world.
Also, you are getting less diversification
in your portfolio, and as a result, your portfolio is likely to have greater
volatility and realize lower returns over the long-term. There is also
opportunity cost. Let us take stock markets for example. By not investing
outside your home border, you pass up opportunities to invest in other stock markets
where valuations might be more attractive.
What about currency diversification? You
might have noticed that the local currency has been looking a lot less
triumphant. That means investments denominated in other currencies are worth
more in local terms. Let us also not forget that there have been plenty of
economic problems at home if you think there are problems in other parts of the
world.
We are in a different world than 10 years
ago in terms of how easy and effective it is to invest in anything globally. There
are different ways in which you can invest in global markets without having too
much trouble.
Most people get this feeling that things
are easy when they first start investing. Global investing is simple. However
that does not mean it is easy and please tell that to the snake oil salesperson
who is sitting besides you now.
Ego often plays a role in our bigger
mistakes. You are not a born CEO or investor or chess grandmaster. Nobody is
great without hard work. Experience counts a lot in our business. If it were
really that simple, anyone could become wealthy overnight. You cannot just jump
in and instantly be successful.